Did we just dodge the extinction bullet?

westenrra 8.18

from Robin Westenra Blogspot, 8-18. The only part of this chart close to normal temperature is the southern tip of Greenland. 

I’ve been talking about the increasing likelihood of losing Arctic Ice this year. Scientist after scientist has come forward over the past two years to say this year could be it–that the once-dismissed projections of Guy McPherson were now supported by the projections of the Naval Postgraduate College, Harvard scientist James Anderson, and Ocean physicist Peter Wadhams. What it came down to is that the movement of the charts on ice loss didn’t show events picking back up.  The chart above notes that while ice volume is lower than it’s ever been, the arc has bottomed out. 

I watched Dr. Guy speak at a lecture in Phoenicia, NY earlier this week, and relative to other occasions, he seemed almost bubbly with happiness over the survival of us past September. This follows a radio interview carried out in Wisconsin. He explains WHY the predictions of various experts with regard to the loss of Arctic Ice did not come to pass (Hint–the record wildfires this year added to global dimming and might have slowed down the heating of the Arctic). As the chart above points out, we’re still bottoming out on arctic ice. This was an unexpected break in bad news. Meanwhile, there’s no reason to expect Dr. McPherson to make you feel better about this. Those of us who thought September was the end of the world are relieved; but those of you who didn’t know September was an end date are probably a bit freaked out. He addresses that issue here.  

People need to understand that this doesn’t mean we’ve fixed the problem of global warming leading to human extinction in the near term. We’ve gotten a respite of a year perhaps. When we finally come to a point where Arctic ice drops below 4 million square kilometers, it’s still game over. And economic collapse still sits on the horizon. Abrupt climate change is contrary to the economic systems and planning we’ve evolved over the Industrial era. 

A month or so ago I posted an article about the predictions and asked what plans people might have if they know we’re facing imminent demise from a combination of economic chaos and disruptive climate change. I thought people would talk about making peace with a long-despised sibling or taking that last vacation they’d always put off, thinking that there was a day called ‘Someday’. I was surprised at all the people posting on Facebook in response to my post who were discussing how they’d find the drugs to take their own lives. I realize we’re taking rotten lemons and making lemonade, but I’m undertaking some last plans for the end. I’d love it if readers would post what they’re planning to do. We’re all gonna die at some point. The challenge of NTHE is that if you know when the clock runs out, you might want a plan.

Peace & love.



Copyright © 2018, Daniel Kinch



  1. David Petraitis · · Reply

    Peace and Love, Dan!

  2. Everything has come down to dodging bullets. Once we get hit by the bullet, bye felicia.

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