my 10.03.2015 prediction: the clock is ticking

Chart on runaway warming of the Arctic as circulated by the Arctic methane Emergency Group.

Chart on runaway warming of the Arctic as circulated by the Arctic methane Emergency Group. Numbers from this chart (developed in 2014) are holding true.

In June, I made a prediction about October 3 of this year. Actually, I didn’t make the prediction, someone named Malcolm Light did and I posted it here. The prediction was that October 3 was going to be the last day when humans could do anything to prevent runaway global warming and (by extension) mass extinction. Doctor Malcolm Light had posted the above chart (put together by a group of scientists that includes Sam Carana, Harold Hensel and other anonymous contributors) last year. My understanding (and remember, I am the simple artist) was that 2015 would be the year we lost arctic summer ice. While this is not the case, we are not out of the woods. Thanks to the El Nino, we’re looking at Arctic Storms that threaten to force ever-warmer waters down into the ocean levels where thousands of gigatons of methane are sequestered by delicate, temperature-sensitive structures called clathrates. And meanwhile, there are pictures from NASA shared by Harold Hensel that show unprecedented turmoil and ice melting in the Laptev sea. It’s a complicated story to follow, so bear with me. 

The most disturbing information (which is also the easiest to follow) has been uploaded by a woman named Jennifer Hynes, a data technician and researcher who has tried to coalesce all of the information on runaway heating into comprehensible bits. She has explained Here how the presence of El Nino has changed from historical norms and now threatens the Arctic Seas. Apparently, a large high-pressure area has pushed El Nino’s hot spots (and rain) away from California where it would normally provide water, and pushed the hot spots up to the Arctic to heat northern waters. You can cut to the chase at the 7 minute mark of this video. The whole series is worth watching, but (as you’ve figured out if you buy into what I’m writing here) your time is precious.

Anyway, I went to Dr. Light’s FB page to see what his take was on his prediction. Here’s his statement as of today.

Today's message

Today’s message. Don’t sugar-coat it.

In related news, James Lovelock, the scientist who first discovered CFC’s in the atmosphere and advanced the GAIA hypothesis, just said ‘Turn out the lights, the party’s over‘. Okay, that isn’t quite what he said.  What he said (per this article) is society should retreat to ‘climate-controlled cities’ and give up on large expanses of land which will become uninhabitable… “We should be ‘strengthening our defences and making a sustainable retreat…We’re reaching an age in history where you can no longer predict the future with any hope of success…We should give up vainglorious attempts to save the world”. 

Which leaves me here. See you on the 4th.

What I'm still trying to do, even in the face of overwhelming evidence.

What I’m still trying to be, even in the face of overwhelming evidence.

 

 

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One comment

  1. In Dec. World Leaders are to meet in Paris to discuss Global Warming, at issue is the amount of greenhouse gases we our emitting, and their plan of action, to Stop this Heating Up and Burning Up our Planet !

    23,000 Fire Fighters, Fighting Fires in California, Washington, Oregon, and Montana 8 / 22 / 2015

    Globally we our emitting 40 – 50 Billion Toxic Tons of Carbon Dioxide a Year.

    The United States emitted 6.8 Billion Toxic Tons of Carbon Dioxide in 2014

    In the 1850s – 1870s parts per million of Carbon in our atmosphere was between 260 – 280.

    In the 1980s, there was 350 ppm of Carbon.

    2015 – 404 ppm in Our Atmosphere.
    We have passed the 1C. baseline Temp Increase !

    India, Pakistan, Japan, and the Middle East, Record Breaking, Killing Heat Waves !

    The Pacific Ocean is 3 – 8 degrees warmer than Normal, and flowing in to the Arctic Ocean.

    Massive Whales, Salmon, Starfish, Sea Lions, Sea Urchins, Dolphins, and Bird Die – Offs !

    The Jet Stream is acting like a balloon that is loosing air.

    The Arctic Ice and Snow may be gone at the end of this Summer or Next. A Huge Natural Cooler for the Northern Hemisphere.

    The meeting in Paris, should be about Closing the Fossil Fuel Faucet.

    “Professor Chris Field is bullshitting the planet. On whether 1.5C is still feasible” Kevin Hester

    “The message is already clear, that if the world does want to strive to limit warming to 1.5C or less, we don’t have very much of the carbon budget left.” Professeor Chris Field

    “There is no carbon budget any more and 5C is baked in according to both Shell petroleum and the International Energy Authority. ” Kevin Hester

    “Chris Field is the founding director of the Carnegie Institution’s department of global ecology and professor for interdisciplinary environmental studies at Stanford University. He is the co-chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) working group two (WGII) and US nominee for the chair of the IPCC.”
    With people like this driving the IPCC you can see why we are all done for.” Kevin Hester.

    There is No Carbon Budget

    California emitted 459 Toxic Tons of Carbon Dioxide in 2014.

    Gov Browns call to reduce this to 1990 levels so we can continue to emit over 400 million Toxic Tons a year, will not help us stop or slow down Global Warming and Sea Levels Rising.

    “Updates to the 2020 Limit.
    Calculation of the original 1990 limit approved in 2007 was revised using the scientifically updated IPCC 2007 fourth assessment report (AR4) global warming potentials, to 431 MMTCO2e. Thus the 2020 GHG emissions limit established in response to AB 32 is now slightly higher than the 427 MMTCO2e in the initial Scoping Plan.” Ca. Gov. Data

    What will the Temp. be at 415 ppm ?

    “Ice sheets contain enormous quantities of frozen water. If the Greenland Ice Sheet melted, scientists estimate that sea level would rise about 6 meters (20 feet). If the Antarctic Ice Sheet melted, sea level would rise by about 60 meters (200 feet).” National Snow and Ice Data Center.

    When will Sea Level Rise to 220 – 300 Feet ? 2020 ? 2025 ? ?

    What will the ppm of Carbon be when this happens ?

    As of Now, they are talking about capping GHGs at 450 ppm.

    What will the Temp. be at 450 ppm ?

    We must transition to 100% Renewable Energy

    Implement a California Residential and Commercial Feed in Tariff.

    California Residential Feed in Tariff would allow homeowners to sell their Renewable Energy to the utility, protecting our communities from, Global Warming, Poison Water, Grid Failures, Natural Disasters, Toxic Natural Gas and Oil Fracking.

    A California Commercial FiT in Los Angeles, Palo Alto, an Sacramento Ca. are operating NOW, paying the Business Person 17 cents cents per kilowatt hour.

    Sign and Share this petition for a California Residential Feed in Tariff.
    http://signon.org/sign/let-california-home-owners

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